Here’s a news release that came into inbox today…an interesting read that doesn’t even touch on the Pedro Martinez/Delino Deshields deal, which most of the Dodger legions believe is the worst one in our team’s history.
If nothing else, it’s a new thread to discuss your thoughts on the good trades and bad ones over the years…
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Dec. 10, 2009
Los Angeles Dodgers rank twenty-sixth in lopsided trades in the twentieth century
Dodgers lost a net -297 games due to lopsided trading
In Traded: Inside the Most Lopsided Trades in Baseball History, statistical consultant Doug Decatur uses Win Shares, a statistic developed by baseball guru Bill James to determine how many wins a player contributes to his team, to objectively rank the 306 most lopsided trades of the twentieth century. (Lopsided trades are those in which the trade produced a net value of 111 future Win Shares, or 37 wins, by the players involved after the trade was made.)
Here are the top five positive lopsided trades for the Los Angeles Dodgers:
Season Principal Acquired Principal Traded Net Future Wins
1939 Pee Wee Reese Red Evans 105
1974 Pedro Guerrero Bruce Ellingsen 82
1918 Burleigh Grimes Casey Stengel 65
1938 Dolph Camilli Eddie Morgan 51
1900 Lave Cross $3,000 43
The Dodgers won their last five World Championships not because of trades and not because of free agency. Their formula has been simple: Put a good, home-grown team on the field as a result of a very good farm system, and then wait for a dominant pitcher to put them over the top, such as Don Drysdale in 1959, Sandy Koufax in 1963 and 1965, Fernando Valenzuela in 1981, and Orel Hershiser in 1988.
Here are the five worst lopsided trades for the Los Angeles Dodgers:
Season Principal Acquired Principal Traded Net Future Loses
1965 Claude Osteen Frank Howard 103
1936 Tom Winsett Dutch Leonard 82
1983 Rafael Landestoy John Franco 61
1977 Rick Monday Bill Buckner 60
1940 Joe Gallagher Roy Cullenbine 57
More than just a ranking of trades, Traded provides a team-by-team overview of the best trades in each team’s history and the human side of the story behind those trades, as well as a listing of the worst trades for each team. Author Doug Decatur also explores the GM who made the best trade for each of the thirty MLB teams.
More importantly, however, in Traded Decatur identifies thirteen red flags to look out for when evaluating future trades that could indicate a lopsided deal is about to take place. These include secondary average for hitters, strikeout-to-walk ratio for pitchers, and the under-valuation of minor league statistics that often occurs in the majors.